The hybrid survey was conducted by Polltics-PAPR, and it polled over 8,446 people across the state. The results of the survey showed that the BJP is likely to retain power in the state, with a projected vote share of 42%. The Congress is likely to come in second place, with a vote share of 39%. The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is projected to finish in third place, with a vote share of 7%.

The survey also showed that the BJP is likely to win a majority of seats in the Assembly. The party is projected to win 112 seats, while the Congress is projected to win 89 seats. The AAP is projected to win 4 seats.

The survey results suggest that the BJP is in a strong position to retain power in Madhya Pradesh. The party has a strong track record in the state, and it is likely to benefit from the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The Congress, on the other hand, is facing a number of challenges. The party is divided, and it has not been able to offer a clear and credible alternative to the BJP. The AAP is also a potential threat to the Congress, but the party is still relatively new in the state, and it is not clear if it will be able to make significant gains in the upcoming elections.

The 2023 Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections are expected to be closely contested. The BJP will be looking to retain power, while the Congress and the AAP will be looking to make gains. The results of the elections will have a significant impact on the political landscape in the state, and they will also have implications for the national political scene.

The following report presents the findings of Polltics-PAPR opinion poll survey conducted in the state of Madhya Pradesh in anticipation of the upcoming 2023 Assembly elections. The purpose of this survey was to gauge the preferences and sentiments of the electorate, providing insights into the potential outcome of the elections. The hybrid survey was conducted among a representative sample of eligible voters across various regions of Madhya Pradesh.

Key Findings:

1. Party Preferences: The BJP emerged as the leading party in the survey, with 42% of respondents expressing their intention to vote for the party. The INC secured the support of 39% of respondents, positioning itself as the primary opposition party. While other smaller regional and independent parties candidates collectively garnered 19% of the intended votes.
2. Chief Ministerial Candidate Preference: Among the respondents who expressed a preference for a specific chief ministerial candidate, Shivraj Singh Chouhan of the BJP received the highest support at 38%. Kamal Nath of the INC garnered the support of 32% of respondents as their preferred choice for the chief ministerial position. A significant proportion of respondents (32%) did not indicate a specific preference or were undecided.
3. Key Issues Influencing Voting Decisions: a. Development and Infrastructure: 36% of respondents identified development and infrastructure as the most crucial factor influencing their voting decision. b. Unemployment and Job Opportunities: 28% of respondents considered unemployment and job opportunities as a significant issue. c. Agricultural Concerns: 18% of respondents expressed that agricultural policies and farmer welfare would heavily influence their voting choice. d. Social Welfare and Education: 12% of respondents highlighted social welfare programs and educational reforms as important factors. e. Other Issues: The remaining 6% of respondents cited various other issues, including healthcare, law and order, and corruption, among others.

The opinion poll survey suggests that the BJP is currently positioned as the front-runner in the upcoming 2023 Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections, with a small lead over the INC. However, it is important to note that these findings represent the opinions and intentions of the respondents at the time of the survey and are subject to change as the election campaign progresses. The survey also emphasizes the significance of development, unemployment, and agricultural concerns as key factors influencing voters’ decision-making processes.

Methodology:

1. Sample Size: The survey was administered to a diverse sample of 8,446 eligible voters in Madhya Pradesh.
2. Sampling Technique: A random sampling technique was employed to ensure the representativeness of the sample.
3. Data Collection: The survey was conducted through telephone and face-to-face interviews, taking into account demographic factors such as age, gender, and geographical distribution.
4. Margin of Error: The margin of error for this survey is approximately ±2%, with a confidence level of 95%.

Disclaimer: This opinion poll survey is based on a sample of respondents and may not perfectly reflect the actual election results. The margin of error and inherent biases in data collection methods should be considered when interpreting these findings.

To read the full-text of this opinion poll survey research, you can request a paid copy with all data directly from the authors at contact@polltics.in